Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.171226 0.196688 0.225800 0.261802 0.305479 0.357200 0.423758
2025-04-13 0.129374 0.161047 0.201301 0.257254 0.334720 0.440867 0.602272
2025-04-20 0.107437 0.141829 0.189136 0.261178 0.372337 0.545207 0.852132
2025-04-27 0.093532 0.129279 0.181643 0.267623 0.413230 0.667046 1.190000
2025-05-04 0.083245 0.119432 0.175263 0.272981 0.452563 0.800159 1.628133
2025-05-11 0.075701 0.112160 0.171014 0.280087 0.496265 0.959066 2.237601
2025-05-18 0.068988 0.105005 0.165418 0.283063 0.532459 1.118570 2.991573
2025-05-25 0.063240 0.098531 0.159748 0.284347 0.565269 1.286583 3.955647
2025-06-01 0.058015 0.092213 0.153276 0.282472 0.590314 1.448420 5.116320
2025-06-08 0.053225 0.086052 0.146144 0.277657 0.606829 1.596291 6.462444
2025-06-15 0.050536 0.083322 0.145092 0.285763 0.659312 1.892498 9.196641
2025-06-22 0.046763 0.078171 0.138562 0.280076 0.672490 2.063094 11.635666
2025-06-29 0.044230 0.075152 0.136074 0.283837 0.716019 2.391833 16.550217
2025-07-06 0.041297 0.071083 0.130916 0.280143 0.736211 2.645579 22.122645
2025-07-13 0.039364 0.068775 0.129202 0.284926 0.786564 3.095855 33.472407
2025-07-20 0.037799 0.067038 0.128491 0.292256 0.849601 3.693945 54.578773
2025-07-27 0.036275 0.065229 0.127379 0.298292 0.911452 4.379873 92.207125
2025-08-03 0.034997 0.063803 0.126955 0.306265 0.985727 5.281965 173.236886
2025-08-10 0.033542 0.061864 0.125086 0.309606 1.043249 6.180368 326.915808
2025-08-17 0.032099 0.059828 0.122740 0.311047 1.094074 7.147021 656.635983
2025-08-24 0.030588 0.057519 0.119471 0.308945 1.128165 8.051992 1351.382805
2025-08-31 0.029036 0.055000 0.115415 0.303547 1.144270 8.826444 2817.959364
2025-09-07 0.028288 0.054213 0.115652 0.312636 1.242108 10.951549 16206.167866